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Free Grade 3 Working with Conditional Probability Worksheets

Free Grade 3 worksheets for Working with Conditional Probability: 12 real questions with a full answer key and worked solutions. Probability measures how likely something is, from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain). P(event) = favourable outcomes ÷ total outcomes. For independent events, multiply.

Price

Free

Difficulty

Higher

Estimated time

15 min

Total marks

24

Learning objectives

Every objective is checkable, and each one maps to an activity and an assessment.

  • RememberIdentify working with conditional probability

    Identify working with conditional probability accurately in a familiar context.

    Assessed by: Exit ticket of four short items

  • UnderstandExplain working with conditional probability

    Explain working with conditional probability accurately in a familiar context.

    Assessed by: Exit ticket of four short items

  • ApplyCalculate working with conditional probability

    Calculate working with conditional probability accurately in a familiar context.

    Assessed by: Exit ticket of four short items

  • AnalyseCompare working with conditional probability

    Compare working with conditional probability accurately in a familiar context.

    Assessed by: Exit ticket of four short items

Prerequisites

Close these gaps first — each has its own free lesson, worksheet and quiz.

How Working with Conditional Probability works

Probability measures how likely something is, from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain). P(event) = favourable outcomes ÷ total outcomes. For independent events, multiply.

Key wordsprobabilityoutcomeeventindependentcertainimpossible

12 practice questions

Easy to hard, 24 marks in total. Try them first, then open the answers.

  1. 1.A bag has 4 red, 6 blue and 5 green counters. One is picked at random. Find P(red).[1]
  2. 2.A bag has 3 red, 8 blue and 1 green counters. One is picked at random. Find P(red).[1]
  3. 3.A bag has 8 red, 1 blue and 2 green counters. One is picked at random. Find P(red).[1]
  4. 4.A bag has 7 red, 2 blue and 2 green counters. One is picked at random. Find P(red).[1]
  5. 5.A bag has 8 red, 6 blue and 5 green counters. One is picked at random. Find P(red) and P(not red).[2]
  6. 6.A bag has 3 red, 7 blue and 0 green counters. One is picked at random. Find P(red) and P(not red).[2]
  7. 7.A bag has 5 red, 2 blue and 5 green counters. One is picked at random. Find P(red) and P(not red).[2]
  8. 8.A bag has 8 red, 5 blue and 1 green counters. One is picked at random. Find P(red) and P(not red).[2]
  9. 9.A bag has 1 red and 1 blue counters. Two are picked with replacement. Find P(both red).[3]
  10. 10.A bag has 1 red and 6 blue counters. Two are picked with replacement. Find P(both red).[3]
  11. 11.A bag has 6 red and 2 blue counters. Two are picked with replacement. Find P(both red).[3]
  12. 12.A bag has 2 red and 3 blue counters. Two are picked with replacement. Find P(both red).[3]
Show answers and working
  1. 1. P(red) = 4/15

    Total counters = 15. P(red) = 4/15 = 4/15.

  2. 2. P(red) = 1/4

    Total counters = 12. P(red) = 3/12 = 1/4.

  3. 3. P(red) = 8/11

    Total counters = 11. P(red) = 8/11 = 8/11.

  4. 4. P(red) = 7/11

    Total counters = 11. P(red) = 7/11 = 7/11.

  5. 5. P(red) = 8/19, P(not red) = 11/19

    Total counters = 19. P(red) = 8/19 = 8/19. P(not red) = 1 − 8/19 = 11/19.

  6. 6. P(red) = 3/10, P(not red) = 7/10

    Total counters = 10. P(red) = 3/10 = 3/10. P(not red) = 1 − 3/10 = 7/10.

  7. 7. P(red) = 5/12, P(not red) = 7/12

    Total counters = 12. P(red) = 5/12 = 5/12. P(not red) = 1 − 5/12 = 7/12.

  8. 8. P(red) = 4/7, P(not red) = 3/7

    Total counters = 14. P(red) = 8/14 = 4/7. P(not red) = 1 − 4/7 = 3/7.

  9. 9. 1/4

    P(red) = 1/2 each time. Independent, so multiply: 1/2 × 1/2 = 1/4.

  10. 10. 1/49

    P(red) = 1/7 each time. Independent, so multiply: 1/7 × 1/7 = 1/49.

  11. 11. 9/16

    P(red) = 6/8 each time. Independent, so multiply: 6/8 × 6/8 = 9/16.

  12. 12. 4/25

    P(red) = 2/5 each time. Independent, so multiply: 2/5 × 2/5 = 4/25.

Worked examples

Easy example

A bag has 8 red, 3 blue and 4 green counters. One is picked at random. Find P(red).

  1. Total counters = 15.
  2. P(red) = 8/15 = 8/15.
  3. Answer: P(red) = 8/15
Medium example

A bag has 1 red, 1 blue and 1 green counters. One is picked at random. Find P(red) and P(not red).

  1. Total counters = 3.
  2. P(red) = 1/3 = 1/3.
  3. P(not red) = 1 − 1/3 = 2/3.
  4. Answer: P(red) = 1/3, P(not red) = 2/3
Hard example

A bag has 7 red and 7 blue counters. Two are picked with replacement. Find P(both red).

  1. P(red) = 7/14 each time.
  2. Independent, so multiply: 7/14 × 7/14 = 1/4.
  3. Answer: 1/4

Interactive practice

Free, no account required — answer on screen or print it.

Common mistakes

What learners typically get wrong, and how to fix it.

  • Writes probability as a ratio like 3:5.

    Correction: Use a fraction, decimal or percentage.

  • Adds probabilities for 'and' events.

    Correction: 'And' means multiply when events are independent.

Teacher tips

  • · Run real experiments with dice and compare to theory.

Parent tips

  • · Talk about the chance of rain from the forecast.

Real-life applications

  • · Weather forecasts, games, insurance.

Assessment objectives

How mastery is evidenced, and which standards it maps to.

COMMON-CORE COM-561.1 — Mapped statement covering Working with Conditional Probability.OCR OCR-458.2 — Mapped statement covering Working with Conditional Probability.

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Frequently asked

Is this Grade 3 Working with Conditional Probability worksheet really free?
Yes. Every worksheets on FreeMathWorksheet is free to use, print and share — no account, no paywall and no watermark.
What should a learner already know before this?
Start with Introducing Conditional Probability, Venn Diagrams. Each one has its own free lesson, worksheet and quiz.
How is the worksheet sequenced?
Recognition first, then understanding, application, reasoning and finally mastery — the same ladder used across every free resource on the platform.
What comes next after Working with Conditional Probability?
Move on to Conditional Probability in Context, Sample Space Diagrams, Tree Diagrams, Venn Diagrams, which build directly on this idea.

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